Between Convergence and Collision: Whither Cross-Strait Relations?
This paper distils several observations from the historical evolution of crossstrait relations, compares the ROC-PRC ties with inter-Korean and formerly inter-German relationships, conceptualises the state of the cross-strait relationship and offers likely scenarios of development. The cross-strait relationship has gone through three phases - military confrontation, peaceful interaction and tension-ridden stalemate. It argues that size asymmetry and regime asymmetry make the cross-strait relationship more intractable and less interconnected than the relationships between the two Koreas and between the two Germanys. Finally, this essay predicts that the cross-strait relationship is heading toward some sort of modus vivendi that neither 'convergence' nor 'collision' can totally capture.
Copyright © 2001, Taylor and Francis. This article first appeared in Cambridge Review of International Affairs: 14:2 (2001), 239-256.
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Cheng, Tun-Jen, and Vincent Wei-cheng Wang. "Between Convergence and Collision: Whither Cross-Strait Relations?" Cambridge Review of International Affairs 14, no. 2 (April 2001): 239-56. doi:10.1080/09557570108400370.